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2024-12-14 10:42:52

IEA Monthly Report: The decision of OPEC+has reduced the potential oversupply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said today that the recent decision of OPEC+member countries to postpone the planned production increase has "greatly reduced" the potential oversupply next year. Nevertheless, IEA said that in view of the persistent overproduction in some OPEC+member countries, strong supply growth outside the alliance and moderate global oil demand growth, there may still be a serious oversupply in the oil market in 2025. IEA predicts that even if all OPEC+production reduction plans remain unchanged, supply will exceed demand by about 950,000 barrels per day next year. IEA said that if OPEC members start increasing production in April as planned, the oversupply will increase to 1.4 million barrels per day.Institution: A small interest rate cut by the European Central Bank may have a neutral impact on euro credit. Analysts of Yuxin Bank said in a report that the European Central Bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut tonight, which should have a neutral impact on euro-denominated credit. Analysts said that if the central bank cuts interest rates by 50 basis points further, it is unlikely to be beneficial to euro credit, because it will raise concerns about economic growth in the euro zone. According to the data of LSEG Refinitiv, the possibility that the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points is 83%, while the possibility of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 17%. Yuxin Bank said that as the European Central Bank continues to cut interest rates, the euro credit spread may fluctuate slightly or tighten slightly in the coming months.The Nikkei 225 index just broke through the 39,900.00 mark, and the latest report was 39,899.07, up 1.34% in the day.


The national carbon market closed down 1.29% to 99.90 yuan/ton today. The comprehensive price of the national carbon market today is: the opening price is 101.15 yuan/ton, the highest price is 101.29 yuan/ton, the lowest price is 99.88 yuan/ton, and the closing price is 99.90 yuan/ton, which is 1.29% lower than the previous day. Today, the transaction volume of the listing agreement is 664,139 tons, with a turnover of 66,059,732.39 yuan; The volume of bulk agreement transactions was 8,504,320 tons, with a turnover of 841,280,251.88 yuan.Treasury futures turned green for 30 years, and treasury futures turned down. The 30-year main contracts turned green and fell by 0.03% to 116.94. The 10-year main contract was reported at 108.17, and the increase narrowed to 0.02%.The 2.53 billion shares held by Greenland Group have been frozen. According to the legal litigation information of Tianyancha, recently, Guangxi Construction Engineering Group Co., Ltd. added a piece of information on the freezing of shares. The executor is Greenland Holding Group Co., Ltd., and the amount of frozen shares is about 2.53 billion RMB. The freezing period is from December 9, 2024 to December 8, 2027. The enforcement court is Wanzhou District People's Court in Chongqing.


The State Council approved the Hefei Land and Space Master Plan (2021-2035), which proposed to improve the functional structure and spatial layout of the city, coordinate the industrial layout, comprehensive transportation, facility allocation and land use, and give priority to ensuring the space needs of advanced manufacturing industries, scientific apparatus and other scientific and technological innovations. Build an international air cargo hub and a national railway hub, improve the service level of logistics infrastructure, improve the external and internal channels of multi-directional Unicom and multimodal transport, and build a safe, convenient, green and low-carbon urban comprehensive transportation system. Coordinate water conservancy, energy, environment, communications, national defense and other infrastructure spaces, actively and steadily promote the construction of "flat and emergency dual-use" public infrastructure, optimize the regional layout of disaster prevention, mitigation and relief facilities, and improve the security and resilience of national space.Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.Han Yong's bribery case of illegally accepting property of more than 261 million yuan was heard in the first instance. On December 12, 2024, the Nanning Intermediate People's Court of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region held a trial in the first instance to hear the bribery case of Han Yong, former deputy director of Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference Population, Resources and Environment Committee and former party secretary and chairman of Shaanxi Provincial Political Consultative Conference. The Nanning Municipal People's Procuratorate sued the accusation: From 1993 to 2023, the defendant Han Yong took advantage of his position as Party Secretary and Procurator-General of Songyuan Municipal People's Procuratorate of Jilin Province, Party Member and Deputy Procurator-General of Jilin Provincial People's Procuratorate, Deputy Secretary of Jilin Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection, Standing Committee of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Party Committee, Minister and Deputy Secretary of Organization Department, Party Secretary and Chairman of Shaanxi Provincial Political Consultative Conference, and the convenience of his authority and position to help relevant units and individuals in business operation, project contracting and cadre appointment. The procuratorial organ requested Han Yong to be investigated for criminal responsibility for accepting bribes.

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